Base. Scenario and session assumptions update this selected asset only.
Decision Summary
21.6%
HBU option: logistics · Base
Risk: Moderate · 29/100Confidence: Medium · 76%
Project Definition
- HBU option
- logistics
- Land area
- 6,801 m²
- Gross floor area (GFA)
- 39,038 m²
- Gross leasable area (GLA)
- 33,900 m²
- Units
- 52
Baseline
Cost Assumptions
- Acquisition / land
- SAR 111,513,000
- Hard construction cost
- SAR 17,522,000
- Soft costs
- SAR 2,103,000
- Financing
- SAR 5,566,000
- Contingency
- SAR 1,374,000
Total project cost = land + hard cost + soft cost + contingency + financing. Development margin = profit / revenue; return on cost = profit / total project cost.
Revenue Assumptions
- Expected revenue
- SAR 176,232,000
- Sales price
- Baseline
- Occupancy
- 91.4%
- Exit / terminal value
- SAR 176,232,000
Timeline
- 1AcquisitionSept 2026 – Oct 2026 · 1 monthDelays the entire programme and financing drawdown.
- 2DesignOct 2026 – Feb 2027 · 4 monthsPushes approvals and contractor mobilisation.
- 3ApprovalsDec 2026 – May 2027 · 5 monthsDefers construction start and increases holding cost.
- 4ConstructionMay 2027 – Mar 2028 · 10 monthsRaises financing cost and postpones revenue.
- 5CommercialisationNov 2027 – May 2028 · 6 monthsSlows collections and extends payback.
- 6ExitSept 2028 – Oct 2028 · 1 monthDefers terminal proceeds and reduces present value.
Delivery delay: 0 months
Financial Results
- Total project cost
- SAR 138,078,000
- Expected revenue
- SAR 176,232,000
- Gross profit
- SAR 38,154,000
- Net profit
- SAR 38,154,000
- Development margin
- 21.6%
- Internal rate of return (IRR)
- 14.6%
- Net present value (NPV)
- SAR 11,512,000
- ROI
- 27.6%
- Equity requirement
- SAR 55,231,000
- Debt funding
- SAR 82,847,000
- Payback
- 24 months
- Break-even
- SAR 138,078,000