Back to Property
Prototype / Modelled evidence
Residential development land 001
MEYAR-RYD-0001 · Hittin
Base. Scenario and session assumptions update this selected asset only.
Decision Summary
19.6%
HBU option: Residential · Base
Risk: Low · 13/100Confidence: High · 92%
Project Definition
- HBU option
- Residential
- Land area
- 1,800 m²
- Gross floor area (GFA)
- 6,282 m²
- Gross leasable area (GLA)
- 5,151 m²
- Units
- 36
Baseline
Cost Assumptions
- Acquisition / land
- SAR 13,500,000
- Hard construction cost
- SAR 20,417,000
- Soft costs
- SAR 3,063,000
- Financing
- SAR 2,292,000
- Contingency
- SAR 1,761,000
Total project cost = land + hard cost + soft cost + contingency + financing. Development margin = profit / revenue; return on cost = profit / total project cost.
Revenue Assumptions
- Expected revenue
- SAR 51,004,000
- Sales price
- Baseline
- Occupancy
- Not applicable to this asset archetype.
- Exit / terminal value
- SAR 51,004,000
Timeline
- 1AcquisitionSept 2026 – Oct 2026 · 1 monthDelays the entire programme and financing drawdown.
- 2DesignOct 2026 – Feb 2027 · 4 monthsPushes approvals and contractor mobilisation.
- 3ApprovalsDec 2026 – May 2027 · 5 monthsDefers construction start and increases holding cost.
- 4ConstructionMay 2027 – Nov 2028 · 18 monthsRaises financing cost and postpones revenue.
- 5CommercialisationApr 2028 – Oct 2028 · 6 monthsSlows collections and extends payback.
- 6ExitMay 2029 – Jun 2029 · 1 monthDefers terminal proceeds and reduces present value.
Delivery delay: 0 months
Financial Results
- Total project cost
- SAR 41,033,000
- Expected revenue
- SAR 51,004,000
- Gross profit
- SAR 9,971,000
- Net profit
- SAR 9,971,000
- Development margin
- 19.6%
- Internal rate of return (IRR)
- 13.4%
- Net present value (NPV)
- SAR 2,415,000
- ROI
- 24.3%
- Equity requirement
- SAR 17,234,000
- Debt funding
- SAR 23,799,000
- Payback
- 32 months
- Break-even
- SAR 41,033,000