Scenario comparison
Base
Only supported outputs change; asset and workspace context remain intact.
Outputs and ranking
| Scenario | IRR | NPV | Margin | Risk | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Approved canonical baseline assumptions | 13.5%+0.0 pp · #2 | SAR 4,596,000+0 · #2 | 18.9%+0.0 pp · #2 | 83/100Severe · #2 | 45/100Weak · #2 |
| Price +8% · Rent +6% · Occupancy +3% · Development cost -2% · Demand +6 points | 19.6%+6.1 pp · #1 | SAR 11,812,000+7,216,000 · #1 | 26.0%+7.1 pp · #1 | 80/100Severe · #1 | 52/100Selective · #1 |
| Price -10% · Rent -9% · Occupancy -8% · Development cost +7% · Financing cost +1% · Delivery +3 months · Demand -10 points | 2.6%-11.0 pp · #8 | -SAR 9,404,000-14,000,000 · #8 | 4.3%-14.7 pp · #8 | 89/100Severe · #8 | 33/100Avoid · #8 |
| Development cost +12% | 8.4%-5.2 pp · #5 | -SAR 1,343,000-5,939,000 · #5 | 12.1%-6.8 pp · #6 | 84/100Severe · #3 | 41/100Weak · #5 |
| Price -10% · Demand -3 points | 6.6%-6.9 pp · #7 | -SAR 3,183,000-7,779,000 · #7 | 9.9%-9.0 pp · #7 | 85/100Severe · #4 | 39/100Weak · #7 |
| Price -4% · Occupancy -12% · Demand -5 points | 10.8%-2.7 pp · #3 | SAR 1,484,000-3,112,000 · #3 | 15.6%-3.4 pp · #3 | 85/100Severe · #5 | 42/100Weak · #3 |
| Price -3% · Financing cost +2% · Demand -3 points | 10.6%-2.9 pp · #4 | -SAR 970,000-5,566,000 · #4 | 15.2%-3.8 pp · #4 | 85/100Severe · #6 | 42/100Weak · #4 |
| Development cost +4% · Financing cost +1% · Delivery +9 months · Demand -2 points | 8.3%-5.2 pp · #6 | -SAR 2,352,000-6,948,000 · #6 | 15.0%-3.9 pp · #5 | 85/100Severe · #7 | 41/100Weak · #6 |